Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns
Replies to: Inaccurate Virus Models Are Panicking Officials Into Ill-Advised Lockdowns
“Madeline Osburn is a staff editor at the Federalist and the producer of The Federalist Radio Hour”
I think we can trust her advice.
Not interested in the views of mouthpieces on either side. Just want to hear it from the Docs and
Epidemiologists in lay terms that make sense.
Then, make the hard choices.
Believe it or not, data scientists, engineers, epidemiologists, and public health officials
are not "Democratic activists". The models aren't perfect, but are working with the best data available. Have you been paying attention to what is happening in Italy?
I stopped reading at the phrase “Wuhan Virus”. Obviously a political piece.
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The Imperial College model is not peer-reviewed.
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You have peer-reviewed data that contradicts it?
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This is NOT contest. But I won't make policy decision based on un-peer-reviewed, unverified model.
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This pandemic won't wait for a peer-review Eli
Decisions need to be made fast based on the best data available. By the way, what's your thoughts on using anti-malaria drugs as recommended by Trump? (and which also aren't peer-reviewed as of yet).
Fine. 1. Just don't call your decision scientific. 2. We already had a decision -business as usual
It's called based on null hypothesis. Well, accurately say majority of business as usual, more accurately say at least 80% business should remain as usual. The data from Diamond Princess already told us 80% of her 3,500 people are immune to covid-19, 20% got infected (but 80% of the infected are either have mild symptom or no mild symptom). The rough picture is clear to me, detailed and accurate picture is still not clear though.
BTW, Drug testing is a clinical trial thing (e.g. double blind), it is not a modeling thing
Easily countered with a few Donald lies. "We're doing so great". "We're in great shape". "Because
of all we've done, the risk to the American people is very low."
Link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NezEbDx4B9A