when you predicted $200 oil? I'm thinking it might be time. I'm fully levered on the position so the return is astronomical already.
This board is the gift that keeps on giving.
The market has rallied pretty much from the moment you posted that stupidity.
The crazy inflation of the 1970's was caused by LBJ's Great Society/Viet Nam spending in the 1960s.
The stock market has its own agenda and can adjust to inflation but the average Joe cannot.
Runaway government spending has always caused higher inflation throughout history.
But stick to your guns! If inflation hits 50% any time in the 2030s you will be right!
As a fan, what are the other occasions in which you profited off of the opinions/speculation on this board? Please tell me that you listened to my fight outcome guarantee on the Khabib-McGregor fight.
Made it once and it was a disaster. Which sucked because I love Beef Wellington.
But don’t get snarky because I did the same thing as PB to your election predictions. Trump is going to cruise in Wisconsin!
The 2020 election before which you predicted Trump would roll in Wisconsin. Don’t feel bad though, I made more off of Baron’s predictions in Michigan because he added some Senate predictions.
Gave a bit back in Maine though.
I offered to give money to a charity of your choice. You never responded.
I made the same offer to Baron and cut a check to a children’s hospital.
I take enough chances waking up in the morning and sticking my face in the fan.
As I recall, on several occasions, you asked me to which of your charities should I send my money, obviously implying that I took a bet and lost. Beyond not taking the bet, I'm struggling with the idea of you having charities to which you give. Paying for JVan's and BeijingIrish's beachfront condos do not qualify. BTW, is the latter still alive and as obnoxious as ever?
There was no wager, gramps. You and Baron made ridiculous predictions and I hammered the opposite. When they paid off, I said I would contribute something g yo your favorite charity as a thank you for being so profitably wrong.
You needed to do nothing more than make a bad prediction. To be fair, Baron made 2 including doubling down on one on election night that REALLY paid off.
BTW, my suspicions about hacking election returns began in 2018, when I voted for Democrat Tony Evers. He beat Scott Walker by 1.1% of the vote. I stayed up until 1:30 AM election night watching the county-by-county returns. It was odd, and though I wanted Evers to win, I started to suspect that funny business was afoot. By 12:30, the race was tied, going back and forth by the minute, and five counties had not had all precincts reported: Milwaukee, Dane, La Crosse, Bayfield and Portage Counties. One might expect Milwaukee to be last, as the most populous county. Perhaps Dane, in which Madison is located. However, why La Crosse and Portage? La Crosse isn't particularly populous and Portage is even smaller. Bayfield is smaller yet. What the five had in common was that every one of them were traditionally Democratic strongholds. Portage and Bayfield lie within a sea of red surrounding counties. Every other county small in population had reported all precincts a while before. Walker moved ahead just before this dead time. Then Dane, Portage, and Bayfield reported and more precincts in Milwaukee began reporting, and Evers moved ahead to stay. I thought at time, "Gee, if I didn't know better, I would swear that someone waited until all other counties were counted to see how many votes Evers needed to wrap this up."
For what it's worth, I also think it's plausible that Bush campaign allies somehow hacked the system in Ohio in 2004, after Kerry looked to be on his way to winning, and also in 2012. In 2012, Anonymous put out a video and published logs for what they claimed was an attempt to hack the system in Ohio, and that they blocked it. At the same time that this was allegedly happening, Karl Rove was going ballistic on Fox, essentially claiming that it was impossible that Obama was winning in Ohio.
I suspect elections have been hacked in the past, against both Republicans and Democrats. I think it's possible that it happened in 2020, as well. Probably not, but possible.
The burden of being perfect does weigh on me sometimes though…
So there’s that. (Plus my wife continues to resist acknowledging it.)
