ND's playoff resume took a hit yesterday.
The A&M win went from great to good.
The Navy win went from good to average.
The Louisville win went from average to good.
USC and FSU remain trainwrecks. ND needs to pound them both.
The NIU loss remains the worst amongst all playoff contenders.
Army should present a good win opportunity for ND.
Some more chaos would be nice, Tuesday's first ranking will answer a lot of questions.
Replies to: ND's playoff resume took a hit yesterday.
All we need to worry about is the team winning out which is no lock at all.
The rest: what will be will be.
First Playoff Seed Prediction: 1. OR 2. GA 3. MIA 4. BYU 5. Tosu 6. TX 7. Tenn 8. ND 9. PSU 10. SMU
11. IND 12. Boise
B10 may get four with a one loss Indiana. Surprised if they don't Only loss would be OSU.
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Pretty good, but I think PSU and Indiana will be before ND. ND 11th.
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Tenn. and Georgia play each other.
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Does LSU play Alabama? I think Brian will show up for that one if they do.
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I know...this wasn't meant a a prediction of the final, just the initial.
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Just one nit
I believe the CFP will release rankings, but not playoff seedings, on Tues. Obviously one can infer what the seedings will be based on the rankings, but they are two different things.
Re: Just one nit
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Re: Just one nit
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agree, as I stated below
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Considering that they exist for only one reason
it seems a bit silly for them to not put it out how it would actually look if the season ended right now.
Otherwise they should just wait until the very end after Conf Champ games to release it.
Kind of disagree, Chris
For the committee to list a team as a top 4 seed requires a lot of assumptions at this point. Several teams are tied at the top of both the BIG and the SEC. Putting them in ranking order, instead, will show what the committee actually thinks of each team.
I personally would like to see how the committee ranks the teams. It will be easy to see the seeding order after that. The talking heads will analyze the CFP rankings and put them in seeding order.
I don't think there needs to be any assumptions..
You simply base on an 'if the season ended now' approach and list the team currently in 1st place in the conference as their bye and if it changes you adjust accordingly.
The committee knows the tie breaker rules for the conferences: Conf W/L, overall record, AP ranking, head to head results, common opponents, etc..
No guess work needed, assign byes based on current conference leader then seed the other 8 as you would right now with what has occurred good/bad up to this point.
That would be fine except that there is no current leader in the two big conferences
So, yes in order to pick one to put in the top 4 seeds, the committee would have to make huge assumptions. It would just be so much simpler to merely rank the teams the way the committee has always done. I don't know how they will do it. I'm stating how I would like them to do it
Here's mine: Playoff Seed Prediction: 1. OR 2. GA 3. MIA 4. BYU 5. Tosu 6. TX 7. Tenn 8. PSU
9. Alabama 10. Indiana 11. ND 12. Boise St.
Woosh!
I don't see there being any 2 loss teams in initial release..
I'm sure there will be some 2 loss teams that stay in or play their way in by the end, but not right now.
I think IU beats OSU and faces Oregon
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That would be great.
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At this point if we just win out we will be fine
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We need all the top teams to win out and win conference titles.
No surprises or upsets. We also need at least 2 of PSU OSU Indiana with 2 losses. 2 of which are during regular season.
Oregon Georgia Miami etc.
We get into trouble if 2 loss Clemson wins acc and Miami gets in. Or an obvious SEC team that is going to get into playoffs Doesn’t win.
And we win out. That gives us the best chances.
Nice prediction
A&M could lose again.
Just win out and pray. Nothing is a given.
Clearly Navy was overrated as I am sure Army is as well.
Until a team plays a bonafide opponent you have no idea who they are. Posers I’m sure
Clemson and Pitt are clearly posers.
The same with Iowa State.
As much as I like Indiana's start and HC, they haven't played anyone yet either.
Tennessee is underwhelming as well.
Penn State is an eternal poser.
a lot still goes comes down to the eye test. PSU and Texas have no wins close to ND’s.
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PSU and Texas have no losses close to ND's loss.
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TX deserves to be ahead, but for the record their best win is Vandy...PSU only quality win is
Illinois.
I heard talking heads today lauding PSU's schedule.
You know, those epic road wins at WVU and Wisconsin.
People actually believe that shit.
Oh, those 4 or 5 loss teams.
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Gosh, I forgot all about that
Thanks for the reminder!
Ultimately this is our greatest risk. And we can’t complain if we don’t make it as a result .
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And the perception of being Independent.
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a loss is a loss. it’s more about wins. ND will have an easier time getting in at 11-1 thanif it’s
only loss had been to A&M.